Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 agosto 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Aug 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 218 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Aug 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 9557 (S20W64)
produced an M4/1N flare at 05/2224 UTC. Growth in the region has
slowed but it maintains moderate sunspot area and magnetic
complexity. Regions 9563 (N23W21), 9566 (N17W08), and 9570 (S10E61)
also generated C-class subflares. New Region 9571 (N05E78) was
numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. C-class flares should continue and M-class activity is
possible in a number of active Regions, most notably 9557, 9563, and
9566.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels under
the influence of disturbed solar wind conditions that included
sustained southward IMF.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next 24 hours becoming
quiet to unsettled for the remainder of the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Aug 164 Previsto 07 Aug-09 Aug 170/175/175 Media de 90 Días 06 Aug 149
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Aug 013/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Aug 020/022 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 015/015-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
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