Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 agosto 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Aug 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 213 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Aug 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. Region 9561
(S12E37) produced isolated B- and C-class subflares. This
moderate-sized, simply-structured sunspot group remained the most
active of the visible regions, but showed no significant changes
during the period. No significant changes were observed in the
remaining regions. New Regions 9564 (N14W40), 9565 (N04E22), and
9566 N17E63) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to (briefly) active levels in
response to coronal hole effects, which gradually decreased during
the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on the first day.
Activity is expected to increase to mostly active levels during the
final two days of the period following yesterday's filament
disappearances.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Aug a 04 Aug
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Aug 120 Previsto 02 Aug-04 Aug 120/125/130 Media de 90 Días 01 Aug 149
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Jul 020/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Aug 014/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Aug-04 Aug 008/015-015/015-020/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Aug a 04 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 11% | 11% |
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