Viendo archivo del domingo, 22 julio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jul 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 203 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jul 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. X-ray emission remained
below C-level during the past 24 hours. Region 9543 (S22W19) remains
the largest group on the disk and showed slight growth in some of
the middle spots. Region 9545 (N09W57) showed some growth but was
very stable and quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days. There is, however, a very slight chance for
an isolated M-class event from Region 9543.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes declined from high
levels at 21/2325 UTC and remained below this threshold for the
remainder of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next 24 hours. A slight
increase to unsettled with a possibility for isolated active periods
is predicted for the second and third days due to coronal hole
effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jul 140 Previsto 23 Jul-25 Jul 140/135/135 Media de 90 Días 22 Jul 157
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 003/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jul 007/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 007/010-012/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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