Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 julio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jul 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 190 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jul 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been low. The largest event of the
period was an optically uncorrelated C3 flare at 09/0542 UTC.
Other C-class flares were produced throughout the period by Region
9531 (S06E07), the largest being a C2/Sf at 09/0046 UTC. New Region
9533 (S09E29) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low. Region 9531 and returning regions expected on
the east limb may be potential sources of isolated moderate activity
within the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. A single
period of minor storm occurred at Boulder during 09/0000-0300 UTC.
Conditions trended toward predominantly quiet levels later in the
day.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet to unsettled for the next three
days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| Clase M | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Jul 130 Previsto 10 Jul-12 Jul 135/140/145 Media de 90 Días 09 Jul 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jul 011/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Jul 011/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 008/008-008/008-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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