Viendo archivo del domingo, 3 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been low. The largest event was a
C2/Sf from Region 9484 (S06E08) at 03/2011 UTC. This region
continues to maintain some magnetic complexity and slowly increase
in size and spot count, currently in a Dai/beta-gamma configuration.
Other regions that exhibited activity today include 9486 (N28W22),
and newly numbered 9488 (S18E61). Region 9488 was split from Region
9485 (S23E46) based on a better view of the region as it rotates
onto the visible disk, and is presently the second largest region
after 9487 (N19E60), which also grew in size and spot count today,
but produced no activity of note.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low for the period, but with a chance for isolated
moderate flare activity possible for the developing regions noted in
Section 1A above.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been mostly quiet to unsettled, with one
active period observed at higher latitudes during 03/1500-1800 UTC.
Coronal hole high speed stream effects have exhibited a weakening
trend throughout the day, but remain in progress.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled levels throughout the
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| Clase M | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jun 145 Previsto 04 Jun-06 Jun 150/155/155 Media de 90 Días 03 Jun 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 018/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 008/008-008/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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