Viendo archivo del viernes, 4 mayo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 May 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 124 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 May 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event was a
long-duration C4/Sf from Region 9447 (N14W41). Region 9447 grew in
area and spot count today, as well as developing into a more complex
Beta-Gamma magnetic classification. The only other active region of
note was 9445 (N25W04) which produced some optical subflares. One
region was numbered today: 9450 (S03W07).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled conditions. Isolated
active periods are possible on the first day of the forecast period
due to favorably positioned coronal holes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 May a 07 May
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 May 176 Previsto 05 May-07 May 170/165/160 Media de 90 Días 04 May 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 May 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 May 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 May-07 May 012/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 May a 07 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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