Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 abril 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Apr 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 113 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Apr 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 9433 (N17E14)
produced two M-class events during the period, an M1/1f flare at
23/0128 UTC and an M4/2n at 23/2030 UTC. Region 9431 (S11W29)
produced an C2/Sf at 23/1223 UTC with an associated 6 degree long
disappearing filament. Region 9433 continues to grow in spot count
and area. This region has retained its F-type sunspot group with
mixed polarities and a delta configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. Region 9433 is likely to continue to produce M-class
events with the chance for an isolated major flare during the next
three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm conditions for
the last 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. There remains a chance for an
energetic proton event if a major flare occurs in Region 9433.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Apr a 26 Apr
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Apr 196 Previsto 24 Apr-26 Apr 205/210/210 Media de 90 Días 23 Apr 166
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Apr 017/028 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Apr 020/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Apr-26 Apr 010/010-010/010-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Apr a 26 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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