Viendo archivo del sábado, 10 marzo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 069 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Mar 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was high. Region 9368 (N24W59) produced
an M6/1b flare at 10/0405Z, with moderate radio bursts and a Type II
sweep. A CME was also observed from this event. This moderately
complex region also produced a C9/1n flare at 09/2324Z. Region 9273
(S36W64) continues to develop and produced several minor C-class
flares throughout the period. A C6 event was observed at 10/1622Z
and was likely associated with a CME observed off the SE limb. New
Regions 9374 (S19E50) and 9375 (S16W46) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Continued C-class and isolated M-class activity is
expected from Regions 9368, 9372, and 9370 (N10W38).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with an isolated period of
unsettled conditions between 10/0300 - 0600Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electrons continue at moderately enhanced levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at mostly quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated,
high latitude active periods are possible throughout the three day
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Mar a 13 Mar
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Mar 160 Previsto 11 Mar-13 Mar 155/150/150 Media de 90 Días 10 Mar 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Mar 007/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Mar 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar 010/015-008/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Mar a 13 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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