Viendo archivo del jueves, 1 febrero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Feb 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 032 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Feb 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 9330 (N25E54)
produced a C7/Sf flare at 01/0712 UTC and two lesser C-class events
during the period. This region remains the largest and most active
on the visible disk. Two new regions were numbered today: 9333
(N24W10) and 9334 (N12E78). Region 9333 developed with rapid growth
but produced no significant activity. Region 9334 rotated onto the
visible disk today and produced some subfaint optical flares, but
without any notable x-ray enhancements. Other active regions on the
visible disk were mostly stable and quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low for the next three days. Region 9330 is a
potential source for isolated M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled throughout the day,
in the wake of the geomagnetic storm activity of January 31. A
trend toward mostly quiet conditions has been evident for the latter
half of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet with isolated unsettled periods
for the next three days, barring the occurrence of an earth-directed
CME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Feb a 04 Feb
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Feb 161 Previsto 02 Feb-04 Feb 165/165/170 Media de 90 Días 01 Feb 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Jan 011/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Feb 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb 005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Feb a 04 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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