Viendo archivo del miércoles, 31 enero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 031 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Jan 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity has been low. The greatest activity of
note was an optically uncorrelated C2 flare at 30/2237 UTC. A
bright surge on the disk near spotless region 9216 (S15W84) was also
observed at 31/1536 UTC, but with only minor accompanying x-ray
enhancement. Region 9330 (N26E57) has rotated into full view as the
largest region on the disk (230 millionths coverage in white light,
in an Eao-Beta configuration), but produced no activity of note
during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low, with only isolated chances for moderate activity
during the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to minor storm levels.
Shock passage associated with the CME of January 28 was observed at
the ACE satellite at 31/0742 UTC, with a subsequent sudden impulse
(17 nT) observed at Boulder at 31/0803 UTC. Unsettled to active
conditions have predominated since, with an isolated period of
minor storming recorded for higher latitudes during 31/0900-1200
UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels through February 1,
reducing to quiet to unsettled levels for February 2-3.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Feb a 03 Feb
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Jan 153 Previsto 01 Feb-03 Feb 155/160/165 Media de 90 Días 31 Jan 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Jan 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Jan 013/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Feb-03 Feb 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Feb a 03 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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