Viendo archivo del sábado, 30 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 365 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event this period
was a C5/Sf flare that occurred in Region 9283 (S11W28) at 30/1039Z.
This region has been in slow decay over the past 2-3 days, but
continues to produce occasional C-class flares. The largest active
region on the visible disk is Region 9289 (S07E30) which has now
developed into an EKI beta-gamma group nearing 900 millionths of
white light area. Frequent brightenings were observed and occasional
low C-class flares occurred, but magnetic complexity appears
moderate at best. New region 9292 (N25E63) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Large Region 9289 will continue to produce C-class
activity with a good chance of an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Dec a 02 Jan
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Dec 182 Previsto 31 Dec-02 Jan 185/175/170 Media de 90 Días 30 Dec 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Dec 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Dec 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Dec-02 Jan 005/010-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Dec a 02 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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