Viendo archivo del viernes, 29 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 364 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity reached moderate levels. Region 9289
(S06E43) produced two M1/1f flares, at 29/0223Z and at 29/1848Z.
Both flares were accompanied by minor centimetric radio bursts. This
region appears slightly more complex than yesterday and still
contains white light areal coverage in excess of 700 millionths.
Region 9283 (S12W16) produced occasional low C-class flares, the
most important being a long duration C4/1f flare at 29/0211Z. New
Region 9291 (S13E34) emerged quite rapidly today in close proximity
to complex Region 9289.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low to moderate levels. Region 8289 has good potential for
M-class flares. Regions 9280 and 9283 may produce an isolated
low-level M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled with one active
period observed between 29/0300 - 0600Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field will
likely continue at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active
periods are possible at high latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Dec a 01 Jan
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Dec 182 Previsto 30 Dec-01 Jan 185/185/175 Media de 90 Días 29 Dec 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Dec 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Dec 008/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Dec-01 Jan 005/010-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Dec a 01 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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