Viendo archivo del domingo, 8 octubre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Oct 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 282 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Oct 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 9181 (S29W13)
produced today's largest flare, a C3/1f flare at 07/2341Z. This
region appears to be decaying. Region 9176 (S06W79) produced a few
subflares today but also is slowly decaying as it approaches west
limb. Four small regions emerged or rotated into view today: Region
9187 (N21W07), Region 9188 (S12E32), Region 9189 (N19E54), and
Region 9190 (S20E74). These regions are all small and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active. An increase to active levels is
expected sometime late tomorrow and is expected to continue partway
through the third day. The increase in activity is forecast because
of a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Oct 149 Previsto 09 Oct-11 Oct 145/145/150 Media de 90 Días 08 Oct 182
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Oct 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Oct 002/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Oct-11 Oct 012/015-020/025-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
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