Viendo archivo del lunes, 3 julio 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jul 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 185 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 JUL 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY A FEW SUBFLARES
OCCURRED, ALL OF WHICH WERE LESS THAN C-CLASS. GROWTH IN REGION 9068
(S19E38) HAS SLOWED. ALL SUNSPOT GROUPS PRESENTLY ON THE DISK ARE
RELATIVELY SIMPLE AND INACTIVE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
LOW-LEVEL C-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE IN A NUMBER OF REGIONS WITH
9068 BEING THE MOST LIKELY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE BY
THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO A FAVORABLY POSITIONED CORONAL
HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 JUL a 06 JUL
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 JUL 156 Previsto 04 JUL-06 JUL 154/152/150 Media de 90 Días 03 JUL 181
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 JUL 003/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 JUL 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 JUL-06 JUL 010/010-010/010-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 JUL a 06 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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