Viendo archivo del domingo, 22 agosto 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Aug 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 234 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 AUG 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS HIGH. THIS WAS DUE TO AN M5.9/1N
EVENT FROM REGION 8674 (S25E48) AT 21/2213UT. REGION 8674 WAS THE
SOURCE OF ALMOST ALL OF THE SOLAR ACTIVITY THIS PERIOD INCLUDING
SEVERAL C-CLASS EVENTS AND A WEAK TYPE II SWEEP (400 KM/S) AT
22/1413UT. REGION 8668 (N23W36) PRODUCED A SINGLE OPTICAL SUBFLARE
AT 22/1123UT.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO BE MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS AT HIGH LEVELS FOR MOST OF
THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 AUG a 25 AUG
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 AUG 173 Previsto 23 AUG-25 AUG 180/185/190 Media de 90 Días 22 AUG 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 AUG 004/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 AUG 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 AUG-25 AUG 008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 AUG a 25 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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