Viendo archivo del jueves, 15 julio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jul 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 196 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 JUL 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW DUE TO TWO C-CLASS EVENTS.
REGIONS 8625 (S18W40), 8627 (S14W20), AND 8634 (S19E30) ALL PRODUCED
MINOR ACTIVITY. THE REST OF THE DISK AND LIMB WERE MOSTLY QUIET. ONE
NEW REGION WAS NUMBERED; 8635 (N42W64).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST: SOLAR
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO VERY LOW. ACTIVITY MAY START TO
INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS FORMER ACTIVE LONGITUDES RETURN TO
THE EAST LIMB.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY UNSETTLED UNTIL 0900UT AND THEN WAS
QUIET FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 JUL a 18 JUL
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 JUL 130 Previsto 16 JUL-18 JUL 130/140/145 Media de 90 Días 15 JUL 152
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 14 JUL 005/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 JUL 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 JUL-18 JUL 005/007-005/007-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 JUL a 18 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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