Viendo archivo del martes, 13 julio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jul 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 194 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 JUL 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT WAS AN
OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C2.9 AT 13/0546UT. THERE ARE 12 SPOTTED
REGIONS ON THE DISK, MOST ARE LOCATED IN THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE, ALL
APPEAR STABLE OR DECLINING. THE FILAMENT LOCATED NEAR N40E60 AND
EXTENDING TO THE NORTHEAST LIMB DISAPPEARED BETWEEN 13/0800UT AND
13/1800UT. THIS EVENT WAS PROBABLY THE SOURCE OF THE CME OBSERVED
BY THE SOHO SPACECRAFT AROUND 13/1200UT.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN GENERALLY QUIET FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED EARLY IN THE PERIOD. THERE IS A
FAIR CHANCE FOR ACTIVE CONDITIONS LATE IN THE PERIOD AS A RESULT OF
RECENT SOLAR EVENTS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 JUL a 16 JUL
| Clase M | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 JUL 144 Previsto 14 JUL-16 JUL 142/140/135 Media de 90 Días 13 JUL 152
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 JUL 012/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 JUL 004/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 JUL-16 JUL 005/005-005/005-007/006
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 JUL a 16 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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