Viendo archivo del viernes, 9 julio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jul 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 190 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 JUL 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. SEVERAL C-CLASS FLARES OCCURRED
IN A VARIETY OF SMALL ACTIVE REGIONS. REGION 8629 (N23W70) WAS THE
MOST ACTIVE AREA PRODUCING THE BULK OF THE OBSERVED FLARES. THIS NEW
EMERGING REGION IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE AREA THAT HAD BEEN
NUMBERED 8613 BUT HAD SIGNIFICANTLY DECAYED. REGIONS 8615 (S29W28),
8626 (S21W43), 8627 (S13E61), AND NEW REGION 8628 (N18E52) ALSO
PRODUCED SUBFLARES. REGION 8630 (S10W55) WAS ALSO NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ANY OF THE ACTIVE REGIONS MENTIONED IN PART IA. ARE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING C-CLASS ACTIVITY. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED
M-CLASS FLARE IN REGION 8629.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 JUL a 12 JUL
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 JUL 151 Previsto 10 JUL-12 JUL 152/154/154 Media de 90 Días 09 JUL 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JUL 006/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JUL 004/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JUL-12 JUL 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 JUL a 12 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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