Viendo archivo del martes, 8 junio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jun 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 159 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 JUN 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. AS HAS BEEN THE PATTERN OF THE
PAST FEW DAYS, JUST OCCASIONAL SMALL C-CLASS EVENTS OCCURRED. REGION
8574 (N28E01) WAS THE MOST ACTIVE CENTER, AND REMAINS BRIGHT IN
H-ALPHA. TWO NEW REGIONS WERE ASSIGNED; 8577 (N19W37) AND 8578
(N19E04).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD VARIED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE. SOLAR WIND DATA
SHOW PROLONGED PERIODS OF SOUTHWARD IMF, PERHAPS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
PASSAGE OF A RECURRENT STRUCTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE HELIOSPHERIC
CURRENT SHEET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH A CHANCE OF
ACTIVE CONDITIONS DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIMES. QUIET CONDITIONS SHOULD
PREVAIL JUNE 10-11.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 JUN a 11 JUN
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 JUN 157 Previsto 09 JUN-11 JUN 155/150/145 Media de 90 Días 08 JUN 134
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUN 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUN 015/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUN-11 JUN 010/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 JUN a 11 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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