Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 mayo 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 May 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 132 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 MAY 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. TWO C-CLASS X-RAY FLARES
WERE OBSERVED WITH THE LARGEST A C4/SF AT 11/2208Z. THE FLARE WAS
OPTICALLY CORRELATED WITH A NEW REGION NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 8542
(S19E58).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINATELY QUIET THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS AFTER 12/1800Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRONS AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBITS WERE AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS THE FIRST DAY OF
THE FORECAST DUE TO THE CME OBSERVED EARLY ON 10 MAY. QUIET TO
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 MAY a 15 MAY
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 MAY 153 Previsto 13 MAY-15 MAY 150/145/145 Media de 90 Días 12 MAY 132
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 MAY 001/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 MAY 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 MAY-15 MAY 020/020-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 MAY a 15 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
miércoles, 15 mayo 2024
More X-flares!
martes, 14 mayo 2024
X8.7 solar flare
lunes, 13 mayo 2024
M6.6 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/15 | X2.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/16 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/16 | Kp6 (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| mayo 2024 | 153.1 +16.6 |
| Last 30 days | 175.9 +69.7 |