Viendo archivo del viernes, 14 mayo 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 May 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 134 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 MAY 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THERE WERE TWO SMALL OPTICALLY
UNCORRELATED C-CLASS X-RAY FLARES EARLY IN THE PERIOD. LASCO/EIT
IMAGES INDICATED A CME BEHIND THE NE LIMB AT APPROX 14/0400Z, AND
THE DISAPPEARANCE OF A 20 DEGREE LONG FILAMENT (S35E60) AT 14/0600Z.
REGIONS 8544 (S20E60) AND 8545 (N37E72) WERE NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE EFFECTS OF A RECURRENT
CORONAL HOLE ARE EXPECTED BY THE LAST DAY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 MAY a 17 MAY
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 MAY 144 Previsto 15 MAY-17 MAY 140/140/135 Media de 90 Días 14 MAY 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 MAY 017/024 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 MAY ???/??? PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 MAY-17 MAY 005/008-005/008-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 MAY a 17 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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