Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 mayo 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 May 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 128 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 MAY 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. TWO XRAY FLARES, AN M1
AND AN M4, OCCURRED FROM REGIONS 8541 (N22E67) AND 8526 (N19W80),
RESPECTIVELY. A TYPE II AND TYPE IV SWEEP WERE RECORDED DURING THE
M4 FLARE. THE TYPE II SWEEP WAS WEAK WITH A SHOCK SPEED OF
APPROXIMATELY 800 KM/S AND THE TYPE IV SWEEP LASTED FOR 49 MINUTES.
ONE NEW REGION, 8541 (N22E67), WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRONS AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 MAY a 11 MAY
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 MAY 172 Previsto 09 MAY-11 MAY 180/190/180 Media de 90 Días 08 MAY 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 MAY 009/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 MAY 006/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 MAY-11 MAY 005/010-008/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 MAY a 11 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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