Viendo archivo del lunes, 5 abril 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Apr 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 095 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 APR 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8508 (N21E49) WAS THE
MOST ACTIVE REGION ON THE SUN, PRODUCING A C1/SF X-RAY EVENT AT
05/0831UT. REGION 8506 (S26W28) HAS DEVELOPED INTO A
BETA-GAMMA-DELTA MAGNETIC CLASSIFICATION. THIS REGION HOWEVER, HAS
SHOWN VERY LITTLE ACTIVITY IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. ONE NEW REGION WAS
NUMBERED, 8509 LOCATED AT (N11E51).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGIONS 8506 AND 8508 ARE BOTH CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
M-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ACTIVE
CONDITIONS REPORTED 05/0600-1200UT. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS
AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT REACHED HIGH LEVELS AT 05/1420UT AND
REMAINED ELEVATED FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE FIRST DAY OF THE PERIOD DUE TO AN ELONGATED
CORONAL HOLE IN THE SOLAR SOWTHWEST QUADRANT.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 APR a 08 APR
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 APR 133 Previsto 06 APR-08 APR 135/140/145 Media de 90 Días 05 APR 134
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 APR 013/013 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 APR 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 APR-08 APR 015/020-012/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 APR a 08 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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