Viendo archivo del domingo, 31 enero 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jan 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 031 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 JAN 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW. SEVERAL SMALL
REGIONS REMAIN VISIBLE AND TWO NEW SIMPLE SUNSPOT GROUPS HAVE
APPEARED. REGION 8446 (N17W72) REMAINS THE MOST INTERESTING REGION
BUT IT IS PRODUCING ONLY EXTREMELY SMALL EVENTS. TWO CORONAL HOLES
ARE NOW VISIBLE AT MIDDLE LATITUDES IN THE EASTERN HEMISPHERE, ONE
IN THE NORTH AND ONE IN THE SOUTH.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED. AN INCREASE FROM THE CURRENT
EXTREMELY QUIET CONDITION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS THE TWO
SMALL CORONAL HOLES ROTATE TOWARD THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE. MODELS
PREDICT THAT CONDITIONS WILL REACH UNSETTLED LEVELS IN THE NEXT
THREE DAYS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER LEVELS FOLLOWING THAT.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 FEB a 03 FEB
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 JAN 115 Previsto 01 FEB-03 FEB 115/115/115 Media de 90 Días 31 JAN 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 JAN 004/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 JAN 004/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 FEB-03 FEB 007/009-007/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 FEB a 03 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 06% | 06% | 07% |
| Tormenta Menor | 03% | 03% | 03% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
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