Viendo archivo del martes, 29 septiembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Sep 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 272 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 SEP 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C6/SF FLARE OCCURRED IN
REGION 8340 (N19W82) AT 29/0154UT. A BRIGHT SURGE ON THE LIMB
OCCURRED AT 0945UT FROM REGION 8339 (S12W90). A DISAPPEARING
FILAMENT OCCURRED FROM REGION 8345 (N22W71) EARLY IN THE PERIOD, BUT
HAS REGAINED MASS AND FORM AS THE PERIOD PROGRESSED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ENERGETIC
ELECTRONS HAVE REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. ENERGETIC
ELECTRONS WILL REMAIN AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 SEP a 02 OCT
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 SEP 116 Previsto 30 SEP-02 OCT 114/118/122 Media de 90 Días 29 SEP 129
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 SEP 004/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 SEP 007/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 SEP-02 OCT 008/008-008/012-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 SEP a 02 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 11% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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