Viendo archivo del domingo, 6 septiembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Sep 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 249 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 SEP 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. SEVERAL SMALL C-CLASS FLARES
OCCURRED. MOST FLARES ORIGINATED IN REGIONS 8323 (S22W36) AND 8326
(N22E39). REGION 8323 REMAINS THE LARGEST AND APPARENTLY THE MOST
COMPLEX GROUP ON THE DISK. NEITHER OF THESE REGIONS HAVE CHANGED
SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE YESTERDAY. NEW REGIONS 8330 (S20E68) AND 8331
(N25E74) WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS FLARES ARE EXPECTED FROM REGIONS 8323 AND 8326.
REGION 8323 APPEARS CAPABLE OF ENERGETIC FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH. A MINOR ENHANCEMENT OF THE
GREATER THAN 10 MEV PROTON FLUX (ABOUT 1 PFU) OCCURRED EARLY IN THE
DAY. THE SOURCE OF THE PROTONS WAS NOT IMMEDIATELY CLEAR.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 SEP a 09 SEP
| Clase M | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 SEP 165 Previsto 07 SEP-09 SEP 150/150/150 Media de 90 Días 06 SEP 123
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 SEP 003/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 SEP 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 SEP-09 SEP 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 SEP a 09 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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