Viendo archivo del domingo, 26 julio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jul 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 207 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 JUL 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY DECREASED TO VERY LOW LEVELS. REGION
8280 (S24E14) REMAINED A MODERATE-SIZED, STABLE H-TYPE AND PRODUCED
A COUPLE B-CLASS SUBFLARES. A WEAK MAGNETIC DELTA CONFIGURATION
PERSISTED WITHIN REGION 8282 (N32E16), BUT NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
SIZE OR STRUCTURE WERE OBSERVED. THIS REGION HAS BEEN STABLE FOR THE
LAST TWO DAYS. NO NEW REGIONS WERE ASSIGNED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MOSTLY LOW WITH A FAIR CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE FROM
REGION 8282.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET WITH ISOLATED UNSETTLED TO
ACTIVE PERIODS DETECTED AT HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX WAS AT HIGH LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON
FLUX IS EXPECTED TO BE AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS THROUGH 28 JULY,
THEN DECLINE TO NORMAL TO MODERATE LEVELS ON THE LAST DAY OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 JUL a 29 JUL
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 JUL 119 Previsto 27 JUL-29 JUL 120/120/120 Media de 90 Días 26 JUL 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 JUL 010/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 JUL 006/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 JUL-29 JUL 007/007-007/010-007/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 JUL a 29 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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