Viendo archivo del lunes, 13 julio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jul 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 194 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 JUL 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. FREQUENT B-CLASS
ENHANCEMENTS OCCURRED, PRIMARILY FROM REGION 8270 (S21E27). THIS
REGION GREW SLOWLY DURING THE PERIOD AND EXHIBITED SLIGHTLY MIXED
POLARITIES. AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED TYPE II RADIO BURST OCCURRED
AT 13/0935Z. NO X-RAY BURST OR OTHER ACTIVITY OF NOTE COINCIDED WITH
THE TYPE II.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME LOW.
CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT IN REGION 8270 SHOULD RESULT IN OCCASIONAL
C-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET. ISOLATED UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED AT HIGH LATITUDES NEAR THE END OF THE
PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 JUL a 16 JUL
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 JUL 106 Previsto 14 JUL-16 JUL 107/108/110 Media de 90 Días 13 JUL 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 JUL 008/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 JUL 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 JUL-16 JUL 005/008-005/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 JUL a 16 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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