Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 julio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jul 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 182 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 JUL 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8253 (N18W43) PRODUCED
TWO C-CLASS FLARES: A C1/SF AT 30/2301Z, AND A C6/SF AT 01/1840Z
WITH A TYPE II SWEEP AND MODERATE DECAMETRIC BURSTS INCLUDING 110
SFU AT 2695 MHZ. AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED TYPE II ALSO OCCURRED
WITH A C1 FLARE AT 01/1020Z. REGION 8259 (N27E25) PRODUCED A C1/SF
AT 01/0009Z. THIS REGION EXHIBITED SOME GROWTH AND DEVELOPED
MODERATE MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY. REGION 8256 (S23W08) PRODUCED A C3/1F
AT 01/1814Z WITH A DISAPPEARING FILAMENT. THE REMAINING FIVE REGIONS
WERE MOSTLY STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW. SEVERAL OF THE EXISTING REGIONS ARE CAPABLE OF C-CLASS ACTIVITY
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET,
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 JUL a 04 JUL
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 JUL 127 Previsto 02 JUL-04 JUL 126/126/126 Media de 90 Días 01 JUL 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 JUN 003/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUL 004/006 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUL-04 JUL 010/012-010/012-012/014
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 JUL a 04 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 02% | 02% |
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