Viendo archivo del lunes, 22 junio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 173 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 JUN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8243 (N17W51) GENERATED
A C2/SF FLARE WITH ASSOCIATED TYPE II AND IV RADIO SWEEPS AT
22/0443Z. THE REGION HAS BEEN STABLE SINCE, AND IS CURRENTLY
CLASSIFIED AS A 15-SPOT 'DHO' BETA GROUP. NEW REGION 8253 (N18E76),
A SINGLE SPOT 'HSX' ALPHA, WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW, WITH REGION 8243 STILL CAPABLE OF ISOLATED C-CLASS
EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT MIDDLE LATITUDES
AND QUIET TO ACTIVE AT HIGH LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS BRIEFLY IN THE HIGH RANGE
DURING THE INTERVAL 22/1830-2000Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 JUN a 25 JUN
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 JUN 101 Previsto 23 JUN-25 JUN 101/102/104 Media de 90 Días 22 JUN 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 JUN 013/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 JUN 008/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 JUN-25 JUN 005/008-005/008-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 JUN a 25 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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