Viendo archivo del martes, 26 mayo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 May 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 146 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 MAY 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY BECAME LOW. REGION 8226 (N18W52), THE
LARGEST VISIBLE REGION ON THE SUN, PRODUCED A C1/1F FLARE AT
26/2035Z. THIS REGION UNDERWENT VERY LITTLE CHANGE SINCE STABILIZING
YESTERDAY AS A 14 SPOT 'DKO' GROUP. REGION 8224 (S31W88) HEATED UP
LATE IN THE PERIOD AS IT NEARED THE WEST LIMB. PLAGE AREA HAS
EXPANDED WITH FREQUENT FLUCTUATIONS OBSERVED. REGION 8227 (N24E61)
REMAINS UNEVENTFUL.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. BOTH REGIONS 8226 AND 8227 ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED ACTIVE
PERIODS ARE LIKELY AT HIGH LATITUDES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 MAY a 29 MAY
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 MAY 093 Previsto 27 MAY-29 MAY 094/096/096 Media de 90 Días 26 MAY 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 MAY 010/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 MAY 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 MAY-29 MAY 007/012-007/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 MAY a 29 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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