Viendo archivo del viernes, 29 mayo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 May 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 149 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 MAY 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS HIGH. REGION 8226 (N18W94) PRODUCED
A M6.7/SF AT 29/0059Z. THIS REGION ALSO PRODUCED SEVERAL C-CLASS
SUBFLARES DURING THE DAY. REGION 8226 HAS ROTATED OVER THE WESTERN
LIMB AT THIS TIME. 2 NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED: FORMER REGION SN55
(S22W13) IS NOW 8228 AND FORMER REGION SN53 (S18E11) IS NOW 8229.
BOTH REGIONS CONTAIN 2-SPOT "BXO-BETA" SPOT GROUPS. REGION 8227
CONTAINS A 5-SPOT "HAX" GROUP AND HAS SHOWN LITTLE ACTIVITY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
AS REGION 8226 CONTINUES TO ROTATE OVER THE LIMB. ISOLATED C-FLARES
ARE POSSIBLE FROM 8227.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED UNTIL APPROXIMATELY
29/1600Z. AT THAT TIME A MAJOR STORM DEVELOPED. THIS WAS MOST LIKELY
CAUSED BY THE EFFECT OF A LONG DURATION C7 X-RAY AND CORRESPONDING
CME THAT OCCURRED ON 27/1335Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO QUIET TO ACTIVE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 MAY a 01 JUN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 MAY 095 Previsto 30 MAY-01 JUN 096/096/096 Media de 90 Días 29 MAY 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 MAY 008/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 MAY 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 MAY-01 JUN 018/018-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 MAY a 01 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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