Viendo archivo del jueves, 12 marzo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Mar 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 071 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 MAR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1 X-RAY BURST OCCURRED AT
0122Z, BUT WAS NOT OPTICALLY CORRELATED. THE PRIMARY AREA OF
INTEREST ON THE DISK IS THE COMPLEX LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST. TWO
NEW REGIONS WERE IDENTIFIED THERE; REGION 8180 (S29E42), JUST SOUTH
OF PRE-EXISTING REGION 8179 (S24E36), AND REGION 8181 (S20E48), A
SMALL BUT SPOTTED GROUP SOUTH OF REGION 8178 (S17E47). THERE HAS
BEEN LITTLE ACTIVITY FROM ANY OF THESE FOUR REGIONS, DESPITE THEIR
CLOSE PROXIMITY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
AN ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENT IS LIKELY IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. BRIEF PERIODS OF
SUBSTORMING OCCURRED DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIMES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 MAR a 15 MAR
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 MAR 102 Previsto 13 MAR-15 MAR 105/105/110 Media de 90 Días 12 MAR 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 MAR 020/028 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 MAR 012/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 MAR-15 MAR 010/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 MAR a 15 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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