Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 028 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A SINGLE UNCORRELATED C1 X-RAY
EVENT WAS DETECTED AT 28/0253Z. THERE ARE CURRENTLY FIVE ACTIVE
REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE DISK, WITH REGION 8143 (S36W04) BEING THE
MOST COMPLEX AS A 17-SPOT 'FAI' BETA-GAMMA. ALL ACTIVE REGIONS HAVE
REMAINED RELATIVELY STABLE SINCE YESTERDAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME MOSTLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS, WITH A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF MINOR STORMING, IN
RESPONSE TO THE PARTIAL HALO CME DETECTED ON 25 JANUARY. THIS
DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO LAST LONGER THAN 24 HOURS, WITH
ACTIVITY DECREASING TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 JAN a 31 JAN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 JAN 097 Previsto 29 JAN-31 JAN 098/098/098 Media de 90 Días 28 JAN 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 JAN 004/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 JAN 004/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 JAN-31 JAN 020/015-015/020-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 JAN a 31 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 60% | 50% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 02% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 70% | 60% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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