Viendo archivo del jueves, 1 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 001 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY BECAME MODERATE DUE TO AN M1/SN FROM
REGION 8124 (S21W78) AT 01/0307Z. THIS REGION ALSO PRODUCED A C1/SF
AT 01/0134Z AND A C2/SF AT 01/0704Z. FORESHORTENING MAKES ANALYSIS
DIFFICULT IN THIS REGION BUT IT IS ASSUMED THAT SOME DEGREE OF
MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY REMAINS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE GENERALLY LOW
FOR 02-03 JAN. ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM REGION 8124
DURING THIS TIME. VERY LOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON 04 JAN AS REGION
8124 MOVES BEHIND THE WEST LIMB.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SOME HIGH LATITUDE
SITES EXPERIENCED ACTIVE CONDITIONS IN THE 01/0600-0900Z PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 JAN a 04 JAN
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 JAN 102 Previsto 02 JAN-04 JAN 098/093/090 Media de 90 Días 01 JAN 095
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 DEC 003/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JAN 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JAN-04 JAN 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 JAN a 04 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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