Viendo archivo del viernes, 19 diciembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 353 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 DEC 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A LONG DURATION C1 EVENT BEGAN
WITH A SLOW RISE IN X-RAY BACKGROUND LEVELS AT APPROXIMATELY
19/1800Z, REACHED THE C1 THRESHOLD AT 19/2005Z, AND REMAINED AT THAT
LEVEL FOR APPROXIMATELY 50 MINUTES BEFORE BEGINNING A GRADUAL
DECLINE. THIS EVENT WAS NOT CORRELATED TO THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION
CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE DISK, 8123 (N18W08), AND IS THOUGHT TO BE
ASSOCIATED WITH A NEW REGION PREPARING TO ROTATE AROUND THE
SOUTHEAST LIMB.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 DEC a 22 DEC
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 DEC 090 Previsto 20 DEC-22 DEC 084/084/084 Media de 90 Días 19 DEC 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 DEC 006/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 DEC 003/003 PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 DEC-22 DEC 010/010-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 DEC a 22 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 00% | 00% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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