Viendo archivo del martes, 9 diciembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 343 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 DEC 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGIONS 8116 (N25W15), A 5
SPOT CSO GROUP, AND 8119 (N32W13), AN 8 SPOT CRO GROUP, ARE IN CLOSE
PROXIMITY AND EXHIBITED SLOW GROWTH IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. REGIONS
8118 (S39E25), A 7 SPOT CAO, AND 8120 (S22E22), A 9 SPOT CRO, ALSO
SHOWED SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT BUT ALL 4 REGIONS MAINTAIN SIMPLE
MAGNETIC CONFIGURATIONS AND HAVE YET TO PRODUCE ANY FLARE ACTIVITY.
A NEW SMALL COMPACT PLAGE REGION IS DEVELOPING NEAR N26W38 BUT NO
SPOTS ARE VISIBLE IN WHITE LIGHT YET. REMAINING REGIONS HAVE BEEN
QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. ALL 4 SPOT REGIONS MENTIONED ABOVE EXHIBITED PERIODIC
POINT BRIGHTNINGS IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. SEVERAL MINOR RADIO BURSTS
AND SWEEPS ALSO OCCURRED INDICATING GROWTH. VERY ISOLATED C-CLASS
FLARING IS POSSIBLE FROM THESE REGIONS IF GROWTH CONTINUES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES. SOLAR WIND
VELOCITY HAS DROPPED TO NEAR 200 KM/S.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REACH UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS BY TOMORROW DUE TO
THE VERY LONG DURATION C1 FLARE AND ASSOCIATED HALO/CME ON 6
DECEMBER. DISTURBED CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH 11 DECEMBER
AND RETURN TO QUIET BY THE 12TH.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 DEC a 12 DEC
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 DEC 097 Previsto 10 DEC-12 DEC 097/098/100 Media de 90 Días 09 DEC 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 DEC 001/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 DEC 002/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 DEC-12 DEC 020/013-020/013-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 DEC a 12 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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