Viendo archivo del viernes, 14 noviembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Nov 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 318 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 NOV 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. REGION 8108 (N19E67)
PRODUCED TWO C-CLASS FLARES TODAY. THE LARGEST WAS A C4/SF LONG
DURATION EVENT AT 14/1038Z. SPACE-BASED SENSORS DETECTED A CORONAL
MASS EJECTION PARTIAL HALO EVENT OFF THE NE LIMB THAT CAN BE
CORRELATED WITH THIS EVENT. THE OTHER EVENT WAS A C3/SF FLARE WITH
AN ASSOCIATED TYPE II SWEEP AT 14/0131Z. THIS REGION CONTINUES TO
GROW AS IT ROTATES ONTO THE VISIBLE DISK. AN UNCORRELATED C1 EVENT
WAS ALSO DETECTED AT 14/0713Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW. REGION 8108 HAS A GOOD CHANCE OF CONTINUED C-CLASS X-RAY FLARE
PRODUCTION AND AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED M-CLASS
ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT ALL LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 NOV a 17 NOV
| Clase M | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 NOV 093 Previsto 15 NOV-17 NOV 094/096/096 Media de 90 Días 14 NOV 090
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 NOV 005/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 NOV 008/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 NOV-17 NOV 005/008-005/008-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 NOV a 17 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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