Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 noviembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Nov 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 317 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 NOV 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. A SERIES OF UNCORRELATED
C-CLASS X-RAY BURSTS HAVE BEEN DETECTED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE
LARGEST OF WHICH WAS A C2.3 AT 13/1508Z. REGION 8106 (N28W71)
PRODUCED A C1/SF WITH AN ASSOCIATED HIGH SPEED SURGE AT 13/1746Z.
THIS REGION CONTINUES TO GROW SLOWLY AS IT NEARS THE WEST LIMB. NEW
REGIONS 8107 (S25W26), A DRO SPOT GROUP, AND 8108 (N21E78), AN HAX
SPOT GROUP, WERE NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW. REGION 8108 EXHIBITS SPORADIC SURGING AND BRIGHTENING AND
APPEARS TO HAVE FAIR TO GOOD FLARE AND GROWTH POTENTIAL AS IT
ROTATES ONTO THE VISIBLE DISK. THIS REGION MAY DEVELOP A FAIR CHANCE
OF M-CLASS FLARE PRODUCTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH
LATITUDES MAY EXPERIENCE SOME INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF UNSETTLED
ACTIVITY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 NOV a 16 NOV
| Clase M | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 NOV 090 Previsto 14 NOV-16 NOV 092/092/094 Media de 90 Días 13 NOV 090
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 NOV 002/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 NOV 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 NOV-16 NOV 005/005-005/008-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 NOV a 16 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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