Viendo archivo del martes, 9 septiembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Sep 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 252 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 SEP 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8085 (S25E40) CONTINUED
TO GROW AND PRODUCED SEVERAL FLARES, INCLUDING A C9/1N AT 09/0953Z.
REGION 8083 (S28W22) HAS DECAYED SOMEWHAT IN SUNSPOT AREA. THIS
REGION CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SUBFLARES AS WELL BUT NOTHING LARGER
THAN B-CLASS IN X-RAYS. REGION 8084 (N22E13) HAS DOUBLED IN SUNSPOT
AREA SINCE YESTERDAY ALTHOUGH THE RATE OF GROWTH SEEMS TO HAVE
DECLINED FROM PREVIOUS DAYS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED IN ANY OF REGIONS 8083,
8084, AND 8085. THESE REGIONS APPEAR CAPABLE OF LOW-LEVEL M-CLASS
ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS. THE
MOST DISTURBED CONDITIONS OCCURRED DURING THE 09/0600-1200Z PERIODS.
THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX RANGED FROM NORMAL TO HIGH,
CROSSING THE HIGH THRESHOLD AT 09/1848Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 SEP a 12 SEP
| Clase M | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 SEP 116 Previsto 10 SEP-12 SEP 120/120/118 Media de 90 Días 09 SEP 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 SEP 012/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 SEP 016/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 SEP-12 SEP 015/015-015/012-015/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 SEP a 12 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
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