Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 septiembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Sep 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 251 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 SEP 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8083 (S28W09)
PRODUCED A M1/SF FLARE AT 08/1938Z. THIS FLARE WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A
DECAMETRIC RADIO BURST THAT INCLUDED 220 SFU AT 2695 MHZ. TODAY'S
OBSERVED PENTICTON 10.7 CM SOLAR FLUX (119 SFU) IS MOST LIKELY
ENHANCED FROM THIS EVENT. REGION 8084 (N21E26) IS EXPERIENCING
EXTREMELY RAPID GROWTH, INCREASING SUNSPOT AREA SEVERAL FOLD AND
DEVELOPING PENUMBRA SINCE YESTERDAY. THIS REGION HAS PRODUCED
SEVERAL FLARE-BRIGHT FLUCTUATIONS AND SUBFLARES AS IT EMERGES.
REGION 8085 (S25E53) CONTINUES TO GROW AS WELL AND IS PRESENTLY AN
F-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUP.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FROM REGIONS 8083, 8084, AND 8085.
ANOTHER SMALL M-CLASS FLARE IS POSSIBLE FROM ANY OF THESE REGIONS
BUT IS NOT THOUGHT TO BE IMMINENT.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE. ACTIVE CONDITIONS
WERE OBSERVED AT MANY STATIONS FROM ABOUT 08/1400-1700Z. THE GREATER
THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS NORMAL TO MODERATE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 SEP a 11 SEP
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 SEP 119 Previsto 09 SEP-11 SEP 115/120/120 Media de 90 Días 08 SEP 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 SEP 004/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 SEP 010/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 SEP-11 SEP 010/015-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 SEP a 11 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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