Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 septiembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Sep 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 249 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 SEP 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY A FEW SMALL FLARES
OCCURRED SINCE YESTERDAY. THE LARGEST WAS A C1 WHICH REACHED A
MAXIMUM AT 06/2052Z. THE TRAILING PORTION OF REGION 8076 (N25W91) IS
NEARLY AROUND THE WEST LIMB. REGIONS 8082 (N21E09) AND 8083 (S27E15)
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN SUNSPOT STRUCTURE ALTHOUGH THEIR OVERALL
MAGNETIC FIELD CONFIGURATION REMAINS SIMPLE. NEW SUNSPOT GROUP 8085
(S24 E75) IS ROTATING AROUND THE EAST LIMB.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW WITH B AND C CLASS FLARES POSSIBLE FROM REGIONS 8076,
8082, 8083, AND 8085. AN ISOLATED M CLASS FLARE IS REMOTELY POSSIBLE
FROM THESE REGIONS AS WELL.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX WAS BARELY MODERATE AFTER ABOUT 06/1400Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 SEP a 09 SEP
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 SEP 098 Previsto 07 SEP-09 SEP 090/088/085 Media de 90 Días 06 SEP 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 SEP 006/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 SEP 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 SEP-09 SEP 010/010-010/010-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 SEP a 09 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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