Viendo archivo del domingo, 10 agosto 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Aug 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 222 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 AUG 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. C-CLASS X-RAY BURSTS ASSOCIATED
WITH SURGING FROM NOW-DEPARTED REGION 8069 (N21W99) WERE THE MAIN
ACTIVITY OF THE DAY. THE LARGEST EVENTS WERE A C4 AT 2019Z AND A C3
AT 0729Z. THE TWO REMAINING SPOTTED REGIONS, 8070 (S20W15) AND 8071
(N26E37), WERE QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW. REGION 8069 WILL BE TWO DAYS PAST WEST LIMB TOMORROW, AND
LIKELY TOO REMOTE TO PRODUCE EVENTS DETECTABLE FROM NEAR-EARTH.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET. AN ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIOD
OCCURRED DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIME ASSOCIATED WITH A BRIEF SUBSTORM.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED SUBSTORMS MAY
PERSIST DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIME HOURS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 AUG a 13 AUG
| Clase M | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 AUG 078 Previsto 11 AUG-13 AUG 078/078/080 Media de 90 Días 10 AUG 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 AUG 010/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 AUG 008/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 AUG-13 AUG 010/010-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 AUG a 13 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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