Viendo archivo del martes, 8 abril 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Apr 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 098 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 APR 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8027 (S28E00)
REMAINED QUIET AND STABLE. THE SLOW DECAY OF THIS REGION HAS
APPARENTLY STABILIZED. NEW REGION 8028 (S07W50), AN AXX SPOT GROUP,
WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. REGION 8027 STILL HAS A CHANCE FOR C-CLASS ACTIVITY AND
A DIMINSHED CHANCE OF ISOLATED M-CLASS ACTIVITY. REGION 8028 IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY ACTIVE AT THIS TIME.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE
FIELD IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING ACTIVITY BY THE END OF
DAY TWO AND BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE BY DAY THREE. HIGH LATITUDE
STATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE ACTIVE TO MINOR STORMING DURING THIS PERIOD.
ACTIVITY WILL BE A RESULT OF THE APPARENT CME ASSOCIATED WITH
YESTERDAY'S C6/3N FLARE. AN INDEPENDENT SOURCE OF SOLAR DATA
INDICATES THAT A SIGNIFICANT CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS OBSERVED IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE FLARE. THIS DATA CORROLATES WELL WITH REPORTED
TYPE II AND IV SWEEPS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FLARE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 APR a 11 APR
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 APR 076 Previsto 09 APR-11 APR 076/076/076 Media de 90 Días 08 APR 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 APR 010/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 APR 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 APR-11 APR 010/010-015/020-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 APR a 11 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
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