Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 marzo 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Mar 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 071 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 MAR 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
REGION 8020 (N07W05), CURRENTLY AN ELEVEN SPOT 'BXO' BETA GROUP,
REMAINS THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
ACTIVE CONDITIONS EXISTED DURING THE INTERVAL 12/0300-1200Z, WITH
ACTIVITY DECREASING TO UNSETTLED DURING THE INTERVAL 12/1200-1800,
AND THEN CLOSING OUT THE REPORTING PERIOD AT QUIET LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH AN
INCREASED CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS ON DAY
THREE DUE TO RECURRENT ACTIVITY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 MAR a 15 MAR
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 MAR 074 Previsto 13 MAR-15 MAR 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 12 MAR 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 MAR 003/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 MAR 012/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 MAR-15 MAR 005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 MAR a 15 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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