Viendo archivo del viernes, 4 abril 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Apr 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 094 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 APR 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
M-CLASS EVENTS FROM REGION 8026 (S23W25).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED
ACTIVE CONDITIONS AROUND 04/0300Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS
WERE IN THE MODERATE TO HIGH RANGE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE THE FIRST DAY OF THE FORECAST AND
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS FOR THE FOLLOWING TWO DAYS OF THE PERIOD. THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A RESULT OF THE CME OBSERVED ON 01 APRIL.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 APR a 07 APR
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 APR 079 Previsto 05 APR-07 APR 079/078/078 Media de 90 Días 04 APR 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 APR 009/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 APR 020/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 APR-07 APR 020/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 APR a 07 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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