Viewing archive of Tuesday, 5 November 2019

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2019 Nov 05 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 309 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Nov 2019

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (06 Nov, 07 Nov, 08 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 450 km/s at 05/1431Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 05/0951Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 05/1601Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3049 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (06 Nov, 07 Nov) and quiet levels on day three (08 Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Nov to 08 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 Nov 070
  Predicted   06 Nov-08 Nov 070/070/068
  90 Day Mean        05 Nov 068

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 04 Nov  004/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 05 Nov  007/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 06 Nov-08 Nov  009/008-007/008-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Nov to 08 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%20%10%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm30%25%15%
Major-severe storm30%25%10%

<< Go to daily overview page

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

64%

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2017/09/10X8.2
Last M-flare2020/05/29M1.1
Last geomagnetic storm2020/04/20Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last 365 days310 days
2020143 days (77%)
Current stretch19 days

This day in history*

Solar flares
12012M5.3
22012M4.6
32012M2.3
42012M2.3
52012M1.8
ApG
1200322
2201519G1
3200715
4200612
5201111
*since 1994

Social networks