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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2019 Aug 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 214 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Aug 2019

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 530 km/s at 02/0742Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (03 Aug), quiet to active levels on day two (04 Aug) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (05 Aug).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Aug to 05 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Aug  067
  Predicted   03 Aug-05 Aug  067/067/067
  90 Day Mean        02 Aug  069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Aug  008/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Aug  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 03 Aug-05 Aug  006/005-011/012-018/025

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Aug to 05 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%15%35%
Minor storm01%05%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%10%
Minor storm20%30%30%
Major-severe storm10%25%55%

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