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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2019 Jun 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 153 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jun 2019

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (03 Jun, 04 Jun, 05 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 355 km/s at 01/2138Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 5691 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (03 Jun, 04 Jun, 05 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Jun to 05 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Jun 070
  Predicted   03 Jun-05 Jun 071/072/072
  90 Day Mean        02 Jun 072

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jun  004/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Jun  003/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun  008/008-008/008-007/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jun to 05 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm25%25%25%
Major-severe storm20%20%20%

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