Viewing archive of Monday, 24 March 2014

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2014 Mar 24 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 83 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Mar 2014

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 24/0010Z from Region 2014 (S14E06). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Mar, 26 Mar, 27 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 521 km/s at 23/2318Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (25 Mar), quiet to active levels on day two (26 Mar) and quiet levels on day three (27 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Mar to 27 Mar
Class M45%45%45%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Mar 159
  Predicted   25 Mar-27 Mar 160/165/160
  90 Day Mean        24 Mar 158

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Mar  007/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Mar  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar  008/008-011/012-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Mar to 27 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%30%05%
Minor storm01%10%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm20%30%15%
Major-severe storm20%40%05%

<< Go to daily overview page

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

100%

Space weather facts

Last X-flare:2017/09/10X8.2
Last M-flare:2017/10/20M1.0
Last geomagnetic storm:2019/10/26Kp5 (G1)
Number of spotless days in 2019:270
Current stretch spotless days:43

This day in history*

Solar flares
12001C9.4
22001C8.3
32014C7.0
42001C6.5
52002C5.9
ApG
1200694G4
2200325G1
3199421G1
4201516G1
5201414
*since 1994

Social networks